Category Archives: India Real Estate News

FDI Investments in Indian Real Estate 2008

Since RBI deregulated FDI investment norms for real estate sector in India is 2005, the amount of money in the sector has attracted has grown significantly over the years. And 2008 will be no different.

According to the Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India (Assocham), the Indian realty sector is likely to see a growth rate of 40-45% in 2008. The organization expects that more than $ 10 billion worth of FDI is likely to flow in the sector by the end of the year. Also the organization believes that the rate of growth is likely to be stable for the next three years when it might go down a little. Also most of the FDI investment is still predicted in the tier 1 cities.

The key points to note from the report are:

  1. The growth in Indian realty sector is here to stay for next few years.
  2. Most of the growth will still happen in big cities. The tier 2 cities are getting increasingly prominent in press but it will still be a while before they compete with tier 1 Cities for the FDI investments.
  3. FDI in the Indian real estate sector will continue to grow because it provides an attractive investment opportunity for foreign investors who have hardly anything cheerful/comparable in the real estate sector in western markets.

Foreign investors have multiple ways to invest in this growth story.

In the last year, companies from this sector floated 12 public issues which included the countries largest IPO of more than Rs 9000 crore by DLF. Also with real estate funds growing in increasing number, they provide attractive alternate investment avenue. Preferred avenue for large investors does seem to be the private equity deals though. Some of the deals are mentioned on Sify.com:

“DLF sold 49 per cent stake in its seven townships to Merrill Lynch and Brahma Investments to raise Rs 1,675 crore.
The private equity deals also happened at entity level. Wachovia Corp, one of the largest financial institutions in the US, picked up 15 per cent stake in Vipul for Rs 234 crore.”

Recently one of the largest real estate firms in Mumbai also entered into significant deal with group of foreign investors. “the Shapoorji Pallonji group has finally struck a $290 million deal — the largest so far in the real estate space — with a clutch of foreign investors. CVC International and the Government Investment Corporation (GIC) of Singapore, along with others, have picked up a 15% stake in a special purpose vehicle (SPV) floated by the group”. (Source: Economic Times)

The same report also quoted the attraction of SPV for foreign investors:

“Mumbai-based real estate analyst said foreign funds continue to pour money into India, especially in FDI-compliant projects, despite concerns voiced by RBI and the government over heavy inflow.”

As quoted by a source:

“The SPV is the most favored route for foreign investors. Since it is almost like a new company, it helps foreign investors avoid all possible issues emerging out of existing companies”.

Lets hope that the experience with the SPVs is better for the foreign companies than with the SIVs, which have been so much in the news recently.

About the Author: Yogesh Dashrath is a financial services professional based in Europe, and keenly tracks the Indian Real Estate market, and can be reached using the contact page of this site.

Indian Real Estate Boom Continues in 2008

A recent article in the Financial Express reported that Real estate developers fear 30% to 50% increase in prices as well as demand for property in Mumbai, Pune, Nasik, Chennai and Bangalore, compared with the ongoing steady demand and prices in Delhi and the NCR region from March 2008 onwards.

According to Abhinandan Lodha, director, Lodha Group:

“The commercial property rates in Mumbai are expected to rise by about 50% with more premium buildings getting constructed.”

Looking ahead in 2008, we predict that the growth in the sector will remain firm though the growth might be slightly less spectacular then previous couple of years.

The recent problems in real estate sector affecting western economies are not equally applicable in India because the driving force for the new real estate purchases is the upwardly mobile working force rather then easy availability of loans (though it does not mean that easy loans were not available as they were). Though we do expect people to take cautious approach, it is unlikely to affect the sector growth due to the sheer latent demand.

An article in the Economic Times also believes in the same theory with some supporting numbers.

“In 2008, market watchers feel residential market will firm up – mainly because of large demand for commercial space. According to one estimate, around 15 million sq ft commercial space is likely to be rented out in 2008, as against the absorption of around 13 million square feet in 2007. The office space of 15 million square feet will create workstations for around 1.8 lakh people. Even if 50% of them end up buying residential units, the demand will be too huge to be easily met.”

All the information above indicates yet another year of magnificent growth so let us investigate a bit deeper into the reasoning why we feel that the growth is likely to be slightly dampened.

There are two reasons that we think will affect the growth adversely.

  1. First of the reasons is the rise in the rate of interest on home loans. The rates have now bounced back to a significantly higher level then last couple of years so this will have an impact on the prospective buyers.
  2. The second factor is the proportion of the speculative investment in the sector.

We believe that more than quarter of the investments in the sector are speculative in nature. This is especially true in bigger cities. As the rates slow down and money supply tightens, it would be but natural that speculative nature will be less in evidence. These two trends should put some breaks on the growth in the prices.

Overall, the fundamental factors of rising incomes and increasing city populations coupled with lack of available housing will ensure that 2008 is another happy year for realty developers.

Whats driving Indian Real Estate prices?

An interesting column appeared in the Financial Times two months back, where a reader questions why Real Estate prices in third world countries like India, tend to be even more than those in the US. The article itself got a lot of responses from readers.

Real estate prices in India have been on an upward spiral for some time now – and we all know that. The trend is not only limited to the metros, but also visible in tier II and tier III cities as well. But why these prices have actually upshot comparable cities in developed countries brings some interesting arguments to the fore.

The biggest impediment of Indian development is infrastructure, and that leads to bad connectivity of places, thus exponentially increasing demand for well connected cities. But these factors have been present forever in India. So What is driving the Indian real estate prices today?

Here are the top factors:

  • Greater liquidity – Perhaps never before has there been so much money in the market. And all of it is chasing just a little available land.
  • Foreign Institution Investments – Most real estate investments are open to FDI. Its not only money which we Indians are earning, but money the multi-nationals are putting into Indian Real Estate. This has been discussed Indian Business Review in its Real Estate Reports.
  • NRI capital – It’s no longer a minor part of the investment. For example, visit any of so called “rural areas” in Punjab, and you will see that the villas there are perhaps are bigger than many in Delhi or Mumbai. So real estate prices are moving up in these smaller cities as well.

With all these factors, it becomes a simple equation of Demand and Supply.

And because land in India is not available in plenty (ie, land/person is much less than most countries) and most Indian families value investment in land as the best investment – so that is also big reason for increasing prices.

As most of these factors seem likely to stay around for the foreseeable future, places like Delhi and Mumbai are competing with London, New York and Tokyo, for the costliest real estate per square feet.